Bad Statistics

I find this interesting:

“The underlying cause depends upon what and where conditions are reported on the death certificate. However, the rules for coding and selection of the underlying cause of death are expected to result in COVID- 19 being the underlying cause more often than not,” the guidelines read.


“COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death,” CDC guidelines issued March 24 read. “Certifiers should include as much detail as possible based on their knowledge of the case, medical records, laboratory testing, etc.,” the guidance continued.”

S if John comes to the hospital, with a heart condition at 75 years old, already on oxygen, with diabetes, showing signs of Covid 19  and subsequently dies, then he is assumed to have died from coronavirus, tested or not.

So we won’t have any decent statistics to work with, later.

“If the decedent had other chronic conditions such as COPD or asthma that may have also contributed, these conditions can be reported in Part II.”

I am gonna go work outside today.

Be safe

Finally:

Seems that (locally, at least) WalMart is finally limiting the numbers of people in the store, and actually acting like there is a health crisis instead of Business as Usual.

No more than 5 people per thousand square feet.

‘Cause everyone needs to shop for cheap chinese goods. Clothing, footballs, and cheap electronics.
The food at the SuperWalmart grocery section I can understand….But the rest?

Odd how no one ever questioned the people at Walmart considering the “lockdown” orders, innit? 

AAANNdd here we go…

Both CBS and NBC (and possibly other DNC mouthpieces) are pushing for a “National Lockdown order”.

While I do understand the reasons to want this, it is a very very very very slippery slope precedent that they are advocating.

And here these assholes were worried that Trump would do the whole Martial Law thing against them.

Yet they WANT to enable this or ANY OTHER future president to Lock-Down the whole country with the stroke of a pen.

Do they not realize what a Pandora’s box they are opening?? 

Why don’t they listen?

On CBS this morning….Government Health Officials are lamenting that people are not staying home….and that there isn’t a national order to do so.

Firstly, dude, people no longer believe you anymore (or, like me, never really did) because your story changes often. Your advice often flouts common sense.

Second, the whole Stay At Home order things is…not really enforceable unless there is Martial Law in place, or someone declares a State Of Emergency…and no governor wants to do that.

But why should we listen to people who we know don’t tell us the truth…or at least the WHOLE truth? Whose aims may or may not be in our best interest?

I AM mostly staying home, limiting my contacts, “Social Distancing”. etc. I live in a mostly rural area, so it isn’t that difficult for me. It is, I think, harder in more urban areas. THOSE areas might well have benefitted from more mask wearing, but they didn’t because they were told not to. NOW, they wonder why folks have begun to stop listening?

Well, shit.

Took the 182 in for the annual inspection yesterday.

One bad cylinder on one side, and two marginal ones on the other side.

Shit. This is gonna be a bit costly.

But hey, no one ever said aviation is cheap.

It’s the downtime while the cylinders are reworked that sucks though.

Prolly 3 weeks.

Oh, and….

Now Masks DO help the rest of us, not just the Medical Personnel. Proper fitment is key to effectiveness, but even a poorly fitting mask has a great deal of effectiveness…according to new CDC “guidelines”
Which anyone with a brain already knew.

As, while not as effective, even a kerchief is better than nothing at all, for those folks who weren’t aware that water is wet and gravity makes things fall.
So says the “experts” now, in contrast to their advice of weeks ago.

How can we trust the government health organizations words when they say such things? And when their message changes halfway though the crisis from what we all suspect are lies to the exact opposite ?

And now they are admitting as well that all those unexplained cases of “not seasonal flu” after Thanksgiving were likely coronavirus, despite telling us that there had been no cases prior to the end of January.

W.T. F. 

Have ya noticed?

New York has been “running out of hospital beds for Coronavirus patients” for over a week and a half now.

And they have been “nearly out of Facemasks (and other PPE)” for over a 2 weeks now.

Now, today, CBS reports that New York is “Nearly out of Respirators” for yet another day.

I’m trying to figure out how it is that they can be “nearly” out of all of these things for weeks. yet never run out.

One can ship masks in, and can import respirators, I guess, but at some point “Nearly” out of beds becomes out of beds.

For me, the Hype from the media and the politicians is beginning to become threadbare.

WOLF!

Only this time, there is a wolf.

It occurred to me that a LOT of people didn’t buy the fearmongering that the Media and (to a lesser extent) the Federal and Local governments) promulgated about this current “crisis”.

Thing is, as long as I can remember, there have been warnings about lots of diseases….some were dire warnings of DOOM if we didn’t follow some rules or other. The last  major scare…”Swine Flu”… we were told the SAME THINGS as we were about this current “Coronavirus”….Tens of Hundreds of THOUSANDS! of people were gonna die, there wouldn’t be any medical personnel to take care of the dying and we would’t be able to burn the bodies in pits fast enough…..

Who remembers the millions dead from H1N1? From SARS?
None of us. So when the Real Thing (if this is it) came along, no one, at first believed it.

We had Heard  “Wolf!!!….WOLF!!!” too many times. Most of us simply ignored the warnings. We had heard all the warnings before, and they had turned out to be…..nothing. Less than nothing.

And, while this time it IS serious, we are again being told that THIS time, we are all gonna die if we don’t stay inside and refuse to interact with people for then NEXT 30 days.

Sadly, I thing many people still don’t believe the government nor the media. They’ve lied to and overstated too many times….about many things. Too many things. (Lets not even look at “Global Warming” “Climate Change”…Or AIDS. Both were gonna wipe humanity from the face of the earth).

Look: These precautions are probably a good plan. In fact, lets say that they are necessary to prevent the spread of Covid-19. But lets face it, even now the big 3 news media are telling us that there will be MILLIONS of dead. More sober projections say somewhere between 200,000 and 600,000. Not MILLIONS. Not multiple millions. So, again, in order to have something to talk about, the media destroys their credibility…and in doing so, they take the already mostly-not-believed Centers for Disease Control down with them.

Yes, this is a serious disease. Yes, it affects lots of folks. Yes, we all should take some precautions. Yes, we should limit our gatherings. But at what cost the hype, the fearmongering, the drive for ratings? The breathlessly dramatic recitation of the number of people sick and/or dying? No one in the media has pointed out that of the number of people presenting symptoms (not just “tested”, but actually showing some symptoms….the percentage of people dying is still very low. You’d think, watching the national news, that this is the end of the world.And that is, again, another lie.

And because of the overly-hyped news, as people grow inured to the hype and the dramatic scenes from (a very few) hospitals and the ever increasing predictions of death for all, they will soon begin returning to their “normal” ways….because they simply don’t believe the media even if this time there might be a kernel of truth to what they are telling us. People in the US will put up with some inconvenience. In fact, I believe they will sacrifice a LOT of comfort if they believe there is a good reason for it. But they have been lied to so often, for so long, by the media and the “authorities” that  even if this time it is real, they won’t believe it. And because they Don’t Believe, when it becomes too inconvenient, they will cease to take precautions.

And therein lies a recipe for Bad Things to happen. 

An oddity:

Strangely, according to the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus website shows ZERO people recovered in the United States. Zero.

Perhaps it is simply a reporting issue. Perhaps something more. I dunno.

And, again, that part of me that thinks that Reynolds Wrap is a good fashion choice for a chapeau is trying to tell me something…..
ETA: Others are thinking along the same lines..

ETA2: As of 4:55 pm central time, the US didn’t even have a listing in the “Recovered” column. As of 6:30, there is a listing.

As I said, an oddity.