We have seen that the Russian offensive in Ukraine is,,,,, less than expected. It appears that the training (quality of troops), Morale, and especially the quality of equipment were much lower than analysts expected. Indeed, the level of resupply was not at the level expected, including munitions, troops and equipment….all fell short of expectations.
So: a question: Will the threatened Russian Nukes even actually work? No one has exploded a Nuke of any kind since 1992 (the US) and 1990 (Soviet Union). Knowing the Russian quality of maintenance and competence, one wonders if any nuclear weapon that they have are in good repair, with the proper pieces (like initiators) in place and up to date. Are the controls well kept and working? Have the weapons warheads been stored properly? (Things like High Explosives are often adversely affected by humidity and temperature). Are all the parts there or did some Russian soldier sell parts for scrap? How about the missiles that carry the warheads?
I’m no expert, and I don’t know much about tactical Nukes, especially Russian ones, nor their handling and storage …or maintenance requirements….but I have worked with Russians, and they can break an anvil and then sell the pieces on the black market all the while reporting that it works fine and has passed the inspections monthly….
One wonders. It isn’t like we don’t have to address the threat, but is it really a threat?