Weather forecasting at it’s finest

So, on Thursday, the forecast for Saturday was 64 degrees(f) and rain. 100 percent chance of rain Friday night, 90 percent chance of rain from 6 AM to 10 AM, and then partial clearing after noon.

So, on Thursday evening, we cancelled the work party we had planned for the range,…spring cleanup and moving about 15 yards of dirt.  The ground was already wet and even a small amount of rain would have made the job miserable and slippery and even dangerous….

Friday evening, the forecast was an 80% chance of rain in the evening and the early hours of Saturday  and possible clearing in the morning. Still a high of 64(f).

Saturday dawned bright and clear. No rain Friday evening nor on Saturday morning. In fact, there was no rain at all from Thursday until Early morning Sunday.
So much for forecast accuracy. Oh, and the high was 77 (f).

If the weather forecasters can’t be accurate for weather 24-48 hours in advance, then how can their climate models be accurate in 50-100 years? In 100-200 years?

Yes, I know weather is not climate, but if one cannot model for short term with any accuracy, how can one model for the long term?

50 years ago

(this was supposed to have posted on the 18th, but apparently I flubbed it badly)

Ted Kenned, driving drunk, crashed his car into a pond.

Stories vary as to what happened next, but in the end, there is evidence that Mary Jo Kopechne drowned after being left behind, trapped in the car.

In today’s world, Teddy Kennedy would be tried for homicide, even if he had come from such a prominent family. Back then, well….

Mary Jo was not available for comment.

Glmrfmp

Yeah, one of those days.

I’m off to see about getting the ’27 Chrysler put back together today.

New clutch, new distributor drive gears (and a reworked gearbox for same) and then putting the trans back in.

Yes, I have someone doing it. They have a lift and better tools.

hopefully pictures soon. 

How very….French

So all those promises of money from the French Rich that were pledged to rebuild the Cathedral at Notre Dame?

Yeah, it would seem that they have been forgotten, and it is, instead, mostly Americans who are footing the bill for repair. 

Odd, I could have sworn that I’d heard this song before….Think WWII.

Funny how history repeats, innit? The French talk big, but in the end, they  just don’t step up.

(and this is another way to show attribution for your source material)



’tis interesting:

The media refers to the President as “Trump”.

They refer to Biden as “Joe Biden” or “Vice President Biden”

Odd difference. One is much less respectful than the other.

It’s not like we don’t know which the Media favors anyway.